17K TO 19K NATIONWIDE New COVID-19 cases in NCR seen to reach 12K on Friday —OCTA

The National Capital Region (NCR) recorded a "new high" of 11,630 new COVID-19 cases on Thursday and may record 12,000 on Friday, according to independent monitoring group OCTA Research. In a tweet on Friday, OCTA fellow Dr. Guido David said the "steep increase" in new COVID-19 cases in the NCR on Thursday broke the previous record of 9,030 that was reported on September 11, 2021. "The single day positive rate increased to 46.3%, while the 7-day average increased to 38%, considered to be at critical level," David said. On the other hand, average daily attack rate (ADAR) increased to 34 per day, which David said is also considered critical. Reproduction number — or the average number of new infections that stem from a positive case — in the NCR was 5.69, according to OCTA. For Friday, OCTA sees the NCR reporting 11,000 to 13,000 new cases and the whole country reporting 17,000 to 19,000. "With so many cases, projections now carry a considerable margin of error," David said. The Department of Health (DOH) reported 17,220 new COVID-19 cases, bringing the nationwide tally to 2,888,917. The new cases also brought the country's active case count to 56,561, of which 1,837 are asymptomatic, 49,988 are mild, 2,954 are moderate, 1,470 are severe, and 312 are in critical condition. Amid the sharp increase in cases, the government placed several areas, including the NCR, under Alert Level 3 until January 15, 2022. Under Alert Level 3, several establishments will be allowed to operate at 30% indoor venue capacity only for fully vaccinated individuals and 50% outdoor venue capacity, provided that all employees are fully vaccinated. Face-to-face classes, contact sports, funfairs/perya, and casinos are among the activities and establishments that are prohibited under Alert Level 3. —KBK, GMA

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