Will the peso continue appreciating?
Some years ago, when I was involved in a money-transfer business to the Philippines (from the Netherlands), I noticed that the Philippine peso would appreciate during enrollment times (June and October), Christmas and elections. The peak during enrollment times and Christmas is due to the surge in Overseas Filipino (OF) remittances. As for elections, I suppose this is because the various candidates and their supporters send back dollars from their foreign bank accounts to help finance their campaigns. The peso has strengthened against the dollar all year. This increase has followed the general trend of the dollar weakening against major world currencies. Because the Philippine economy is rather open, with minimal controls on the inflow and outflow of money, this trend of the weakening dollar internationally has quickly translated into the peso appreciating vis-à-vis the dollar. The role of OF remittances in this is significant, but it is not the only factor that has strengthened the pe...